Subsidizing the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from the UK’s Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme

‘Eat Out to Help Out’ scheme drove new COVID-19 infections up by between 8 and 17%, new research finds. The government initiative, which cost around £500 million, caused a significant rise in new infections in August and early September accelerating the pandemic into its current second wave. The economic benefits of the scheme, meanwhile, were …

Are Opinion Polls Leave-Biased?

I become increasingly sceptical of much of UK polling. There appears to be a very strange disconnect. Eurobarometer polling suggests that attitudes to the EU, if anything, appear to have become more pro-European in the run up to the EU referendum — the share of respondents stating EU membership is a good thing peaked in …

Capturing the Brexit vote in data

In my recent research I have worked on understanding the key correlates of Brexit. This paper is joint work with my co-authors Sascha Becker and Dennis Novy and has now been published in Economic Policy. After having gone through the peer-review process, I am very happy to share the data and the underlying code. On …