1. The Welfare Cost of Lawlessness: Evidence from Somali Piracy, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes-Felix MuellerJournal of the European Economics Association, Volume 13, Issue 2, pages 203 – 239, April 2015.
  2. Group Lending Without Joint Liability, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak. In Journal of Development Economics, pages 217-236, May 2016.
  3. Take what you can: property rights, contestability and conflict, joint with Samuel Marden, Economic Journal, Volume 127, Issue 601, 757–783, May 2017.
  4. On the Comparative Advantage of U.S. Manufacturing: Evidence from the Shale Gas Revolution, joint with Rabah Arezki and Frank PischJournal of International Economics, Volume 107, 34–59, July 2017.
  5. Who Voted for Brexit? A Comprehensive District-Level Analysis, joint with Sascha Becker and Dennis NovyEconomic Policy, 32(92), 601-650, October 2017.
  6. Market Structure and Borrower Welfare in Microfinance, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak,  Economic Journal, Volume 128, Issue 610 May 2018 Pages 1019-1046.
  7. More than an Urban Legend: The long-term socio-economic Effects of Unplanned Fertility Shocks, joint with Amar Shanghavi and Oliver PardoJournal of Population Economics, October 2018, Volume 31, Issue 4, pp 1125–1176.
  8. Commercialization and the Decline of Joint Liability Microcredit joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak,  Journal of Development Economics,  Volume 134, September 2018, Pages 209-225.
  9. Who Voted for Brexit? Individual and Regional Data Combined, joint with Eleonora AlabreseSascha Becker and Dennis NovyEuropean Journal of Political Economy, Volume 56, January 2019, Pages 132-150.
  10. Did Austerity Cause Brexit?,  American Economic Review, November 2019, 109(11), 3849–3886.
  11. Can Workfare Programs Moderate Conflict? Evidence from IndiaJournal of the European Economics Association, Volume 18, Issue 6, December 2020, Pages 3337–3375.
  12. Coronavirus Perceptions And Economic Anxiety, joint with Lukas HenselJohannes HermleChristopher Roth, March 2020, forthcoming at Review of Economics and Statistics.
  13. Tariffs and Politics: Evidence from Trump’s Trade Wars, joint with Carlo SchwarzEconomic Journal, Volume 131, Issue 636, May 2021, Pages 1717-1741.
  14. Security Transitions, joint with Oliver Vanden EyndePedro CL Souza and Austin L WrightAmerican Economic Review, 111 (7): 2275-2308.
  15. Subsidizing the spread of COVID-19: Evidence from the UK’s Eat-Out-to-Help-Out schemeEconomic Journal, 2021.
  16. Measuring the Scientific Effectiveness of Contact Tracing: Evidence from a Natural Experiment, joint with Thomas Graeber, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 118 Issue 33, 2021. A previous version circulated as Does Contact Tracing Work? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from an Excel Error in England, medrxiv pre-print, 2020.
  17. Cohesive Institutions and Political Violence, joint with Stephan KyburzReview of Economics and Statistics.
  18. Does Community Policing Build Trust in Police and Reduce Crime? Evidence from Six Coordinated Field Experiments in the Global South, joint with Graeme Blair, Jeremy Weinstein, Fotini Christia, Eric Arias, Emile Badran, Robert A. Blair, Ali Cheema, Ahsan Farooqui, Guy Grossman, Dotan Haim, Zulfiqar Hameed, Rebecca Hanson, Ali Hasanain, Dorothy Kronick, Benjamin Morse, Robert Muggah, Fatiq Nadeem, Lily Tsai, Matthew Nanes, Tara Slough, Nico Ravanilla, Jacob N. Shapiro, Barbara Silva, Pedro C. L. Souza, Anna WilkeScience.
  19. Global Behaviors, Perceptions, and the Emergence of Social Norms at the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic, joint with Marc Witte, Lukas Hensel, Jon Jachimowicz, Johannes Haushofer, Andriy Ivchenko, Stefano Caria, Elena Reutskaja, Christopher P. Roth, Stefano Fiorin, Margarita Gómez, Gordon Kraft-Todd, Friedrich M. Götz, Erez Yoeli, NBER Working Paper, also as CEPR Working Paper and CAGE Working Paper, 2020Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization193, 473–496.
  20. Housing insecurity, homelessness and populism: Evidence from the UK, joint with Srinjoy Sen and Pedro CL SouzaCEPR Working Paper 14184 and CAGE Working Paper 444, December 2019, forthcoming, Journal of the European Economics Association.

Working Papers

  1. How Big is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes-Felix MuellerCEPR Working Paper, January 2020, revised and resubmitted Review of Economics & Statistics.
  2. Measuring the Regional Economic Cost of Brexit: Evidence up to 2019, joint with Shizhuo Wang, 2020.
  3. De-escalation technology: the impact of body-worn cameras on citizen-police interactions, joint with Daniel Barbosa, Pedro CL Souza, Caterina Soto, CEPR Working Paper 581, 2021, under review.
  4. Pandemic Pressures and Public Health Care: Evidence from England, joint with Christopher Rauh, CAGE Working Paper 607.
  5. Distributional and climate implications of policy responses to the energy crisis: Lessons from the UK, joint with Menna Bishop and Ludovica Gazze, February 2023, CAGE Working Paper and CEPR Working Paper, under review.
  6. How large is the energy savings potential in the UK?, joint with Menna Bishop and Ludovica Gazze, October 2022, CAGE Working Paper, resting for now.
  7. (How) Do electoral surprises drive business cycles?, joint with Ivan Yotzov, August 2023, CAGE Working Paper, CEPR Working paper and CESifo Working Paper, under review. A first draft of this paper titled Political Surprises and Business Cycles was submitted as short paper to AER Insights in 2019.
  8. Regulatory barriers to climate action: evidence from conservation areas in England, February 2023, CAGE Working Paper and CEPR Working Paper, under review.
  9. Endogenous crime: Evidence from the policy response to the energy crisis in England, CAGE Working Paper 662, under review.
  10. How large is the indirect health burden from seasonal diseases? Evidence from COVID-19, joint with Christopher Rauh, July 2023, to be submitted once journals overcome their COVID19 fatigue.
  11. Measuring the Epidemiological Impact of a False Negative: Evidence from a Natural Experiment, CAGE Working Paper 596, 2021, cant be bothered to submit.
  12. Who is NOT voting for Brexit anymore? joint with Eleonora Alabrese, CESifo Working Paper, 2018.

Retired Papers

  1. Fracking Growth, CEP Working Paper 1278, 2014.
  2. Did Eastern European immigration cause an increase in anti-European sentiment in the UK?, joint with Sascha O Becker
  3. Has Eastern European Migration Impacted British Workers?, joint with Sascha O Becker, CAGE Working Paper, 2018.