Transnational Natural Disaster Reporting

This project asks to what extent natural disasters occurring elsewhere in the world drive increased news attention across the world. This can help shape understanding of news reporting spillovers across the world in the wake of climate change induced natural disaster events. The underlying method is described in more detail in Fetzer and Garg (2024) Social and Genetic Ties Drive Skewed Cross-Border Media Coverage of Disasters. The below tabs provide an interactive visualisation of the main empirical observations that are described in the paper.

Overview
Model Complexity
Country-of-disaster view
Country-of-reporting view
Equivalent attention

Data and Approach

  • Data: Combined Europe Media Monitor (EMM) (134 million articles, 466 sources across 123 countries) with EM-DAT disaster database.
  • Dyadic Dataset: Build a cross border daily panel of country mentions as a measure of cross border media coverage between country pairs.
  • Event Study: Econometrically estimate, for each unique natural disaster, an event study to identify traces of differential reporting from media across the world on a country affected by a natural disaster within a few days of disaster start.
  • Focus analysis: Study what drives the variation in the estimated reporting increase across country pairs.
  • Key Variables: Explore patterns in detected increases in reporting focusing on disaster type, fatalities, duration, and measures of country-pair connections (social ties, cultural overlap, etc.).

Headline findings

  • Skewed reporting by natural disaster type: Reporting increases are most notable for particularly “newsworthy” disasters (earthquakes, accidents, wildfires) vs. climate-change-induced disasters (storms, floods, extreme temperatures).
  • Death gradient: Reporting increases strongly informed by the number of fatalities attached to a disaster.
  • Country connectedness matters interactively: Measures of country connectedness primarily shape reporting increases in interaction with the number of fatalities.
Illustration: natural disaster characteristics interact with dyadic connectedness in explaining reporting increases.

Simulation Approach: Select a disaster country and disaster type, then a focal country to see how “equivalent attention” patterns unfold. This asks what number of hypothetical fatalities in a focal country would trigger similar reporting increase compared to a baseline (e.g., 100 fatalities) in the disaster country.

First, choose a country where the baseline disaster with 100 fatalities occurs.

Average Total Deaths by Subregion

Model Performance Analysis

This interactive tab explores 1023 random forest models predicting attention increases between countries after a natural disaster. All models include the same 3 disaster characteristics but vary in which additional “country connectedness” features they include.

Use the checkboxes to include/exclude features, and observe how each combination changes the out-of-sample cross-validated R².

The best and worst models are shown for reference. Find the combination that achieves the best R²!