Month: May 2025
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Thoughts on narratives and the role of AI and validators going forward
I wanted to quickly share some reflections and connect some dots around ongoing work with Prashant on causal claims and language in Economics. We have extended this now to around 300,000 paper abstracts in economics to retrieve information on causal claims. The big challenge, not surprisingly, is getting full texts in a way that is…
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Are we Navigating the End of the Market Era?
The Future of Work, Technology, and Regulation in a Fragmenting World This is a memo I drafted for an event at the British Academy convened by the Innovation, Equity and Prosperity program of the Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (CIFAR). The event had scholars in attendance with easily, in excess of a quarter million citations…
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Trade thaw
I provided these lengthy comments on the weekends development in the US/China trade escalation, some were picked up by some media outlets. Here are the full length comments. The recent U.S.-China thaw, a 90-day tariff reduction from 145% to 30% for U.S. imports and 125% to 10% for Chinese imports, marks a tactical pause. While…
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From local to national: austerity, immigration and support for Populism
To understand the origins of Brexit, we need to examine the political drivers behind the origins and developments leading to Brexit, which are deeply intertwined with the rise of UKIP. UKIP’s ascendance heavily influenced the 2015 election, paving the way for the Brexit referendum. Given UKIP’s focus on immigration, it might be expected that regions…